After looking some more at the team statistics to date, the pitching stats are really weird. The Adams and Zotti Leagues have virtually identical ERAs of 4.08 and 4.06 respectively. But Adams hitters are posting a .303 BABIP vs. the Adams League's .276 mark. Consequently, the Adams League ERA is 0.35 runs above its fielding independent ERA (4.08 to 3.73) while the Zotti League's mark is almost a half-run lower (4.06 to 4.50). I don't know what to make of that, other than that it may be an early season anomaly. There was a similar pattern last year, but not nearly as divergent.
In any case, the teams with the lowest ERA compared to FIP are South Bay (3.40 vs. 4.23) and Walla Walla (4.47 vs. 5,21) while the team with the biggest differentials the other way are Denver (4.50 vs. 4.03), Brooklyn (3.54 vs. 3.10), and Seattle (3.39 vs. 2.98).
I may be the only one fascinated by this, but it just seems so odd.
Well, if my pitching does come back down to earth, as some have predicted, at least my bats are warming up. Peppers is right on track, Jeon is warming up, Klopp is getting on base, Redman is hitting out of his head, and my catchers aren't sucking for the first time since I was in Stockholm.
ReplyDeleteIf only Bill Turek can remember that he's a better hitter than he is, I'll be all right.
I feel the same way about Fout, honestly.
ReplyDeleteMack, it's interesting, particularly if you can determine a long-term (multi-season) pattern in this sort of thing. However, with less than half a season you know that all sorts of weirdness can pop up in the data.