Thursday, September 15, 2011

All-Time All-Star Team

So, now that's I've compiled this absurdly large pool of data, now including the inaugural draft and the players created in 2003 and 2004, who is the ultimate All-Star team as measured by career VORP through 2018? Without further ado:

C: Herman Gossard (2006 draft, round 1, pick 5 by Houston) 408.9 VORP
1B: Dong Lutz (2006 draft, round 1, pick 1 by Hickory) 730.5 VORP
2B: Timothy Palacio (inaugural draft, round 13, pick 113 by Ohio) 561.3 VORP
3B: Eugene Alustiza (2008 draft, round 1, pick 2 by Danville) 420.2 VORP
SS: John Hukill (2005 draft, round 1, pick 8 by Danville) 747.9 VORP
LF: Roberto Casarez (inaugural draft, round 1, pick 6 by Brooklyn) 513.2 VORP
CF: Michael Fay (inaugural draft, round 2, pick 12 by Saskatoon) 527.8 VORP
RF: Brian Frison (2004 draft, round 1, pick 2 by Saskatoon) 816.9 VORP
SP: Demarcus Ramirez (inaugural draft, round 28, pick 220 by Saskatoon) 831.2 VORP
RP: Junior Cuomo (2003 draft, round 1, pick 7 by Shackamaxon) 335.9 VORP

Again, this is based on the players' positions at the time drafted/created.

Centerfield was VERY close, as Sean Arant had 524.7 VORP, only three runs fewer. As stated before, Arant was someone created when we filled out the AAA rosters in 2003 and went to Michael. Given the vagaries of VORP and my calculations, I'd call them tied for best CF of all-time.

Relief pitcher was even closer, as Timothy Vallejo (2003 draft, round 5, pick 37 by Seattle) is at 335.5 VORP, just 0.4 runs saved behind Cuomo. Again, given the vagaries of the VORP figures we're working with, I'd say they were tied. But, since Cuomo appears certain to pull away as the game goes on, it's not a particularly big deal.

Is anyone likely to break into these ranks in the next few years?

Well, Beau Manning was only 14 runs behind Gossard to start the year, but Gossard is widening the gap this year. No one else is close at catcher.

No one is particularly close at 1B, 2B, LF, CF, RF, or RP.

Grondin seems likely to be the top third baseman ever, probably by the end of 2021, but he doesn't play 3B at all anymore, so that's a little odd.

I guess Peppers could run down Hukill, but he started 2019 more than 100 runs behind.

As far as starters, it's possible that Placencia, Okane, and/or Hester could catch Ramirez. But, they entered 2018 135 runs, 156 runs, and 200 runs behind respectively. Villatoro is another candidate, especially as he's only 31. It's kind of a golden age for great pitchers right now.

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