Game Date: Feb 2, 2026
Signings: None
Next sim: Saturday night or Sunday morning.
Zev
Friday, January 30, 2015
Thursday, January 29, 2015
2025 Team Statistical Oddities
I've been behind this year, but I finally updated my master chart of team statistics. Here are the things I thought noteworthy.
- This was the closest season ever, as measured by the total number of games back that teams finished. Teams finished a combined total of 148 games out of first place. In contrast, in 2011, teams finished a combined total of 492 games out of first place thanks to 125 wins and 119 wins from those obnoxious jerks in Seattle and River Cities, respectively.
- There were the second-most extra-inning games ever at 109. (2005 had 111.)
- Batting averages jumped 10 points to .275, the highest ever. (2022 and 2023 were .268.) OBP, SLG, and OPS also all set highs at .343/.443/.785.
- There were more home runs (2,386) than ever. (2022 had 2,374.)
- There were more strikeouts than ever at 14,349. (2023 had 13,722.) Houston hitters struck out more than any team ever—1,440 times. (2009 Covington had 1,402.)
- There were much fewer stolen bases than ever, just 651. (2003 had 827.)
- League ERA was 4.74, highest ever. (2022 was 4.73.) There were more total runs in 2023 (9,882 vs. 9,858) but fewer were unearned this year.
- Along those lines, the league had the highest fielding percentage ever at .985 and the fewest errors at 1,084. (2022 was .984 and 1,141.)
- There were many more double plays in the league this year (2,019) than ever before. The prior record was only 1,802 way back in 2005. Brick had the most double-plays ever with 188. (2004 Hickory, 186.) Houston was third all-time, Seattle fifth, Shackamaxon eighth, and Brooklyn ninth.
- Antelope Valley finished with its second-best record ever and best Pythagorean record in 20 years, since the 2005 California squad went 87-75.
- Brooklyn won the Adams division for the fifth time in a row, but its 82-80 record was the second-worst record for a division winner ever. The worst was Hickory’s 74-88 season in 2020. That was the same year when three of the four Zotti teams finished with more than 100 wins.
- Philadelphia won its division for the first time in club history. It was also Philly’s second ever playoff berth, as the 2012 New York squad had made it as a wild card.
- Shackamaxon finished with a better record than its Pythagorean record for the seventh consecutive season. The only longer streak like that in league history was the 2004-2012 Butte/Denver/Hartford squad now located in Maui.
- Seattle went 64-17 at home and 45-36 on the road. The 19-game disparity was the third largest in history. (2013 Hickory was 52-29 at home and only 27-54 on the road; 2012 Barstow was 56-25 at home and 36-45 on the road).
- Seattle was 16-5 in extra-inning games. That tied the 2005 Seattle team for the most extra-inning wins in a season. The Monarchs’ .762 winning percentage was far below the record though, as New York went 11-1 in extra-inning games in 2021.
- Shackamaxon had the fifth-most home runs in a season with 250. (2023 Seattle, 315.)
- Shackamaxon also had the fifth-most walks received ever with 699. (2024 Maui, 748.)
- Atlanta yielded the second highest BABIP ever at .338. (2021 Monck’s Corner, .349.)
- Antelope Valley and Maui had the two best fielding percentages ever, at .990 and .989 respectively and the fewest errors ever with 63 each. (2021 Seattle, .988 and 71.) Maui also had the fifth-fewest assists ever while Antelope Valley was middle of the pack historically, so I don’t know what to make of that.
- Maui and Antelope Valley each gave up only 33 unearned runs, tied for third fewest ever. (2021 Seattle, 30).
Wednesday, January 28, 2015
Wednesday Sim Done
Game Date: Jan 26, 2026
Signings
Maui: 2B Hernando Albacete (Shackamaxon), 1 yr/$700k
Shackamaxon: LF Guillermo Martinez (Houston), 1 yr/$2.25m
Notes
The preseason has begun. You now have the opportunity to set up your scouting and international player development budgets. You can do this through the preseason.
Next sim: Thursday night
Signings
Maui: 2B Hernando Albacete (Shackamaxon), 1 yr/$700k
Shackamaxon: LF Guillermo Martinez (Houston), 1 yr/$2.25m
Notes
The preseason has begun. You now have the opportunity to set up your scouting and international player development budgets. You can do this through the preseason.
Next sim: Thursday night
HOF
The reason i think we have no closers in the discussion for the HOF ..I saw no statistics involving the save among the criteria for the HOF. Unless i missed it on the blog you posted..that might bring some closers into the discussion...Did i see it right or did i miss it some where
Tuesday, January 27, 2015
The Value of a Draft Pick
Today, we're going to look at the value (in terms of WAR) of a draft pick.
I only have WAR values and draft data for 2014 onward, so the results presented here reflect only that portion of the data.
The first thing we'll take a look at is the value of a draft round overall. Here's a graph of the data (I eliminated rounds 16-25 since that only happened one year -- this past one -- and none of them have yet played in the majors.)
This chart shows the average WAR of all the players selected in any given round. If a player never made it to the majors, I changed the NULL WAR value to 0.
As you can see (and probably knew already), the first round draft pick is, by far, the most valuable, with an average WAR of 3.35 per player. After that the value steadily decreases per round until the fifth round where the value drops, essentially, to 0. There is an odd blip in the ninth round, but that is caused by two players drafted in the ninth round in 2016 -- Juan Gomez (Brooklyn) and Gene Reynolds (New York), who have lifetime WARs over 20. In fact, those two players are the only two players (so far) to be drafted anywhere after the fourth round and have a WAR value over twenty. Personally, I'd love to say that it was my genius that recognized Juan Gomez's talent at that late round, except for two facts: (1) I probably had the computer pick him at that late round and (2) I ended up trading him to Mack anyway.
Next, let's take a look at the value of a first round draft pick. As we saw above, a first round pick is, by far, the most valuable pick a team has. However, even within the first round, there is quite a bit of variability:
I'm not quite sure to make of this data. Clearly the first two picks are the most valuable, as you would normally expect. The blip by pick #7 is the result of two players with WARs over 30 -- Masahide Ueda (Ohio, 2016) and Jonathan Anderson (Seattle, 2017). The fact that my sample size is so small (only 12 elements) may be allowing Ueda and Anderson to have undue influence on the totals.
I am surprised, however, by the fact that values for the last two picks of the first round do not even measure up to an average pick in the third round. There are no #11 or #12 picks with WARs over 10. However, you do find them at almost all pick in the second round - #13 (two players), #14 (3), #15 (1), #16 (2), #17 (3), #18 (1), #20 (1), #21 (1), #23 (1) and #24 (1). I'm not sure why players selected at the end of the first round have generally been not as good as the average for players selected in later rounds.
Want to see any other statistical analyses? Let me know...
Zev
I only have WAR values and draft data for 2014 onward, so the results presented here reflect only that portion of the data.
The first thing we'll take a look at is the value of a draft round overall. Here's a graph of the data (I eliminated rounds 16-25 since that only happened one year -- this past one -- and none of them have yet played in the majors.)
This chart shows the average WAR of all the players selected in any given round. If a player never made it to the majors, I changed the NULL WAR value to 0.
As you can see (and probably knew already), the first round draft pick is, by far, the most valuable, with an average WAR of 3.35 per player. After that the value steadily decreases per round until the fifth round where the value drops, essentially, to 0. There is an odd blip in the ninth round, but that is caused by two players drafted in the ninth round in 2016 -- Juan Gomez (Brooklyn) and Gene Reynolds (New York), who have lifetime WARs over 20. In fact, those two players are the only two players (so far) to be drafted anywhere after the fourth round and have a WAR value over twenty. Personally, I'd love to say that it was my genius that recognized Juan Gomez's talent at that late round, except for two facts: (1) I probably had the computer pick him at that late round and (2) I ended up trading him to Mack anyway.
Next, let's take a look at the value of a first round draft pick. As we saw above, a first round pick is, by far, the most valuable pick a team has. However, even within the first round, there is quite a bit of variability:
I'm not quite sure to make of this data. Clearly the first two picks are the most valuable, as you would normally expect. The blip by pick #7 is the result of two players with WARs over 30 -- Masahide Ueda (Ohio, 2016) and Jonathan Anderson (Seattle, 2017). The fact that my sample size is so small (only 12 elements) may be allowing Ueda and Anderson to have undue influence on the totals.
I am surprised, however, by the fact that values for the last two picks of the first round do not even measure up to an average pick in the third round. There are no #11 or #12 picks with WARs over 10. However, you do find them at almost all pick in the second round - #13 (two players), #14 (3), #15 (1), #16 (2), #17 (3), #18 (1), #20 (1), #21 (1), #23 (1) and #24 (1). I'm not sure why players selected at the end of the first round have generally been not as good as the average for players selected in later rounds.
Want to see any other statistical analyses? Let me know...
Zev
Teaser: What's was the value of that draft pick you traded away?
I'm still crunching the numbers... look for it in the near future.... :)
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)