Here's a look back on those 20 and where they are today (Brooklyn prospects shaded in blue):
Rank
|
Player,
Team
|
2023
Team (ML Years)
|
Notes
|
Significant
Stats
|
1
|
Gregorio Marzanno, RIV
|
Brick
|
2009 G, .309 BA/.888 OPS, 2295 H, 296 HR, 1183 RBI
|
|
2
|
Mohammed Stelly, SEA
|
Retired (2011-17)
|
Three great years and then mysteriously declined.
|
895G, .285 BA/.791 OPS, 960 H, 125 HR
|
3
|
Chester Cohen, NY
|
Retired (2010-19)
|
Had two very good seasons.
|
954 G, .299 BA/.834 OPS, 920 H, 121 HR
|
4
|
George LaBarre, SEA
|
Hickory (2012-23)
|
1713 G, .284 BA/.832 OPS, 1838 H, 279 HR, 334 SB
|
|
5
|
Jeff Wardlaw, BRK
|
Brooklyn (2011-23)
|
1831 G, .245BA/.746 OPS, 1471 H, 250 HR, 870 RBI
|
|
6
|
Paul Guerrero, HIK
|
Retired (2013)
|
Suffered career ending injury in 2015
|
52 G
|
7
|
Jose Guzman, DAN
|
Retired (2011-18)
|
1036 G, .286 BA/.814 OPS, 929 H, 147 HR
|
|
8
|
William Ward, RIV
|
Retired (2012-18, 21)
|
802 G, .208 BA, 408 H
|
|
9
|
Fredrick Thomas, NY
|
Retired (2011-18)
|
Outstanding Pitcher in 2013 (age 27, 25-6), never
had a winning season again.
|
222 GS, 87-86, 4.04 ERA
|
10
|
Alberto Granado, SEA
|
Hickory (2012-22)
|
Played 2023 in AAA
|
1374 G, .285 BA/.798 OPS, 1445 H,
|
11
|
Octavio Cabrales, DEN
|
Brick (2011-23)
|
1437 G, .320 BA/.860 OPS, 191 HR, 780 RBI
|
|
12
|
Cornelius Bondy, BRK
|
Retired (2011-18)
|
823 G, .253 BA, 107 HR
|
|
13
|
Jeffrey Brunton, WAL
|
London (2011-16, 18-23)
|
305 GS, 123-101, 4.10 ERA
|
|
14
|
Bill Oleson, BRK
|
Retired (2011-16)
|
Best season was his first - 11-5, 3.48
|
109 GS, 38-41, 4.89 ERA
|
15
|
Anthony Koepp, SB
|
Retired (2011-19)
|
250 GS, 85-98, 4.56 ERA
|
|
16
|
Bruce Parker, BRK
|
Antelope Valley (2011-23)
|
.333, 32 HR, 120 RBI, .956 OPS in 2014
|
1690 G, .285 BA/.849 OPS, 1791 H, 283 HR, 933 RBI
|
17
|
Ronald Chambers, BRK
|
Retired (2012-18)
|
742 G, .259 BA
|
|
18
|
James Banks, BRK
|
Retired (2011-17)
|
Had two good years in 2013-14, then declined.
|
802 G, .270 BA
|
19
|
Edward Booth, RIV
|
Retired (2011-18)
|
755 G, .224 BA
|
|
20
|
John Jacobs, BRK
|
Retired (2012-20)
|
1112 G, .274 BA/.780 OPS, 849 H, 99 HR, 56 SB
|
(Yeah, I know the formatting is all messed up...)
Interestingly, of the seven prospects I had in the Top 20, I had two that went on to good, long careers (Wardlaw, Parker), two that went on to become average players with nice careers (Bondy, Jacobs) and three who were marginal at best (Oleson, Chambers and Banks).
So, what would you say? Should I have gotten better out of this crop of prospects, or is that what you might have expected from such a list?
Zev
That doesn't seem like an unreasonable success rate to me. It's obviously disappointing, but a lot of top prospects flame out. Far more than most people realize.
ReplyDeleteI'm still bitter about Paul Guerrero, above. He was the #1 prospect a little after this, I traded for him, he was on track to become a star and then blammo, career-ending injury.
The same way that I was very bitter over Oscar Villaplano (sp?) he was the top pitching prospect and right before we upgraded from 6.5, he was gone. I can still remember the morning that I went to the updated webpage right when I woke up and he was gone from my team. I was about to write Zev a nasty e-mail, and I decided to download the game and I saw that he had a career ending injury on his last minor league start that he was ever going to make and retired. I was so pissed and really would have liked to see what he could have done.
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