Friday, December 12, 2008

A little light numbers crunching

There are all sorts of fun SABRmetric things available in OOTP9 of which I approve. I figure I'll occasionally riff on some of them.

Here's a means of calculating cost-effectiveness of players. That uses (VORP/salary*league minimum) as the metric. In effective, it penalizes you for paying too much, even for an effective player.

Here's the top 10 players in cost effectiveness:

New York Mohammed Stelly 17
Brooklyn James Banks 15.1
Seattle Duane Gerhardt 14.1
Maui Octavio Cabrales 13.9
Los Angeles Thomas Cohen 13.3
River Cities Frank Wooster 13.1
New York Joshua Giddings 10.1
Walla Walla Fernando Estrada 10.1
Hickory Donald Hunnicutt 9.9
Hickory Allen Reuter 9.8
Cleveland Monte Gross 9.1
Danville Fermin Perez 9.1
Cleveland Christopher Pearsall 8.2
Los Angeles Roger Painter 8.1

And here's the least cost effective:

Maui Donald Goris -7.8
Houston Harry Johnson -6.8
Cleveland Nelson Garcia -6.7
Houston Coy Hendon -5.6
Walla Walla Joseph Bendel -5.6
Hickory George Labarre -5.3
Houston Basil Napoles -5.3
Hickory Jesus Morales -5
Maui Juan Henriquez -4.8
Cleveland Oscar Avendano -4.4

Ain't numbers grand? There's a LOT of noise in these numbers over the first month. It'll be interesting to see how things develop as the sample size gets larger.

More fun: Win and run cost effectiveness. This is nothing more than the cost each team has racked up for these stats (how much salary spent/win or run). Yay!

Cost per win
Walla Walla 1,223,363
River Cities 1,066,824
Brooklyn 1,031,020
Los Angeles 952,473
Seattle 865,737
Saskatoon 749,628
Houston 714,535
Hickory 699,608
New York 626,860
Danville 521,381
Maui 480,347
Cleveland 354,912


Cost per Run
River Cities 128,019
Los Angeles 102,332
Walla Walla 97,869
Brooklyn 95,909
Seattle 93,090
Hickory 81,621
New York 81,414
Saskatoon 72,080
Houston 64,425
Danville 51,116
Maui 48,574
Cleveland 38,718

Thank God for deep pockets, that's all I have to say.

4 comments:

  1. Keep in mind that the methodology for "worst" players is flawed in that the formula ranks below-replacement, inexpensive players as worse than below-replacement, expensive players.

    Personally, if I have to have a guy who's performing below replacement value, I'd much rather have a cheap guy who costs $300K than one who costs $10M per year.

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  2. I am shocked that neither George Rawlins nor Sherman Wheeler are on the Least Cost Effective list.

    But, it is nice being the least fiscally frugal owner, historically, and having two guys on the "good" list and none on the "bad" one.

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  3. Wheeler ended up at -0.1. I looked for him.

    Rawlins is sitting right a 0.0, I believe.

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  4. I can't complain about my number except I am OVERACHEIVING and not going to get the 1st pick :)

    ReplyDelete

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